MLB · 2026 Season · The DiamondEdge Model
62.1
% win rate at 58%+ confidence · 5,986 picks
+74.6u featured pick profit · 10.9% ROI
56.8% across all 17,555 games modeled
A real model.
Real results.
No bullshit.
Every prediction logged before first pitch, wins and losses. Trained on 20 seasons of MLB data, walk-forward backtested 2019 to 2025, live since Apr 9, 2026.
One free pick every day. No card required.
Entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Full disclaimer
62.1%
58%+ Confidence (5,986 picks)
+74.6u
Featured P/L (10.9% ROI, 1u flat)
56.8%
Overall (17,555 games)
2019-25
Backtest Period
Featured Pick Performance
Full ledger →Cumulative profit · flat 1 stake per bet
+10.9% ROI · 682 bets · -15.2u max drawdown
Average CLV · implied-prob edge per bet
+0.83% avg · 671 priced
Closing line value +0.83%. Markets moved toward our picks after placement, every season in the 2019 to 2025 backtest.
2019 to 2025 walk-forward backtest. Live since Apr 9, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Entertainment purposes only.
Featured Picks: The Product
These are the games we'd bet ourselves: flagged only when the odds are priced wrong. They're the toughest games to call, which is exactly why the payouts are so favorable. A lower win rate, but profitable in testing on the odds. Full P/L ledger in history.
A Real Model
Logistic regression trained on 20 seasons of MLB data and walk-forward backtested on 2019 to 2025. Clean, interpretable, and fast. No black-box nonsense. Every prediction is rated, and the roughly 30 to 140 per season that clear our filter become featured picks.
Full Slate to Research
Every MLB game is modeled daily, so you can dig into matchups and bet your own games too. The full slate is a research tool. The featured picks are what we stand behind.
Recent Picks
Full history →| Date | Matchup | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | LAA Angels @ SEA Mariners | LAA Angels | ✗ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | STL Cardinals @ MIL Brewers | MIL Brewers | ✓ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | LA Dodgers @ SF Giants | LA Dodgers | ✓ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CIN Reds @ TOR Blue Jays | TOR Blue Jays | ✓ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PIT Pirates @ DET Tigers | DET Tigers | ✗ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | COL Rockies @ CHI White Sox | CHI White Sox | ✓ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TEX Rangers @ MIN Twins | TEX Rangers | ✗ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CLE Guardians @ KC Royals | CLE Guardians | ✗ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ARI D-backs @ SD Padres | SD Padres | ✓ |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TB Rays @ PHI Phillies | TB Rays | ✗ |
Pricing
Every featured pick.
Plans from $9.
Community
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