MLB · 2026 Season · Logistic Regression Model
56.9
% correct, 16,281 games
62.4% at 58%+ confidence · 5,663 picks
A real model.
Real results.
No bullshit.
Every prediction logged before first pitch, wins and losses. Trained on 20 seasons of MLB data, walk-forward backtested 2019 to 2025, live since Apr 9, 2026.
One free pick every day. No card required.
Entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Full disclaimer
56.9%
Overall Accuracy
62.4%
58%+ Confidence (5,663 picks)
16,281
Games Analyzed
2019-25
Backtest Period
Featured Pick Performance
Full ledger →Cumulative profit · flat 1 stake per bet
+13.8% ROI · 621 bets
Closing line value +0.88%. Markets moved toward our picks after placement, every season in the 2019 to 2025 backtest.
2019 to 2025 walk-forward backtest. Live since Apr 9, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Entertainment purposes only.
Logistic Regression
Trained on 20 seasons of MLB game data and walk-forward backtested on 2019 to 2025. Clean, interpretable, and fast. No black-box nonsense.
Featured Subset
Every prediction is rated. The roughly 30 to 140 per season that match our contrarian filter criteria are highlighted in the slate. Full ledger in history.
Full Slate, Every Day
Every MLB game is modeled daily. Not a curated handful of easy matchups. Every game, every day.
Recent Picks
Full history →| Date | Matchup | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | PHI Phillies @ TOR Blue Jays | PHI Phillies | ✗ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | TEX Rangers @ KC Royals | TEX Rangers | ✗ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | MIL Brewers @ OAK Athletics | MIL Brewers | ✗ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | CHI Cubs @ COL Rockies | CHI Cubs | ✗ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | STL Cardinals @ NY Mets | STL Cardinals | ✓ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | CIN Reds @ SD Padres | SD Padres | ✗ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | WSH Nationals @ SF Giants | WSH Nationals | ✓ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | ATL Braves @ CHI White Sox | ATL Braves | ✗ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | LA Dodgers @ PIT Pirates | LA Dodgers | ✓ |
| Jun 9, 2026 | MIN Twins @ DET Tigers | MIN Twins | ✗ |
Pricing