MLB · 2026 Season · The DiamondEdge Model
62.0
% win rate at 58%+ confidence · 5,930 picks
+73.2u featured pick profit · 10.8% ROI
56.7% across all 17,397 games modeled
A real model.
Real results.
No bullshit.
Every prediction logged before first pitch, wins and losses. Trained on 20 seasons of MLB data, walk-forward backtested 2019 to 2025, live since Apr 9, 2026.
One free pick every day. No card required.
Entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Full disclaimer
62.0%
58%+ Confidence (5,930 picks)
+73.2u
Featured P/L (10.8% ROI, 1u flat)
56.7%
Overall (17,397 games)
2019-25
Backtest Period
Featured Pick Performance
Full ledger →Cumulative profit · flat 1 stake per bet
+10.8% ROI · 676 bets · -13.2u max drawdown
Average CLV · implied-prob edge per bet
+0.84% avg · 665 priced
Closing line value +0.84%. Markets moved toward our picks after placement, every season in the 2019 to 2025 backtest.
2019 to 2025 walk-forward backtest. Live since Apr 9, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Entertainment purposes only.
Featured Picks: The Product
These are the games we'd bet ourselves: flagged only when the odds are priced wrong. They're the toughest games to call, which is exactly why the payouts are so favorable. A lower win rate, but profitable in testing on the odds. Full P/L ledger in history.
A Real Model
Logistic regression trained on 20 seasons of MLB data and walk-forward backtested on 2019 to 2025. Clean, interpretable, and fast. No black-box nonsense. Every prediction is rated, and the roughly 30 to 140 per season that clear our filter become featured picks.
Full Slate to Research
Every MLB game is modeled daily, so you can dig into matchups and bet your own games too. The full slate is a research tool. The featured picks are what we stand behind.
Recent Picks
Full history →| Date | Matchup | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | MIL Brewers @ PIT Pirates | MIL Brewers | ✓ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SD Padres @ COL Rockies | SD Padres | ✗ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | BOS Red Sox @ TEX Rangers | BOS Red Sox | ✗ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | DET Tigers @ TOR Blue Jays | DET Tigers | ✓ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | ATL Braves @ CHI Cubs | CHI Cubs | ✗ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | OAK Athletics @ TB Rays | TB Rays | ✓ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SF Giants @ STL Cardinals | STL Cardinals | ✗ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | MIA Marlins @ ARI D-backs | MIA Marlins | ✓ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | NY Yankees @ MIN Twins | NY Yankees | ✓ |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SEA Mariners @ LAA Angels | LAA Angels | ✓ |
Pricing
Every featured pick.
Plans from $9.
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